Week 3 Predictions/Explanation of Absence
You wanna know how good I REALLY am? You really wanna know?
Last week I was too tired (and inebriated) to post a blog Saturday night/early Sunday morning so I wrote down my predictions, with scores, on a piece of paper and showed it to a friend so he could back me up if people thought I lied.
Of course, here comes the vulnerability because people will probably start calling me a fraud when I tell you my record.
14-2 people... FOURTEEN RIGHT AND TWO WRONG. Mmmm hmmm, that's right, dance around, feel the love, shake your booty.
I told you that I knew football.
Okay, okay, it might have been an easy week, and this one will be harder, but still, who do you know that only got Philly/Giants wrong (and you know that was almost a fluke) and Miami/Buffalo. The 'fins were SUPPOSED to win that game. Not my fault they didn't. I'll take the second check mark in the "L" column, it's cool.
If anyone requests, I will post my exact predictions for your merry benefit. Some games I was only off by a few points.
So, after going 8-8 in Week 1 and 14-2 in Week 2, for those of you that took Algebra I, that's 22-10 through two weeks. That's a 69% winning percentage, but I'm not happy with that people, we must get into the seventies and stay there. Tough task, but hey, I'm for big goals. On to Week 3 and the toughest one so far.
Carolina @ Tampa Bay
After looking at the records and the number of points these two teams have scored in the first two weeks, this seems like a snooze-fest. I would beg to differ, and give both these teams SOME credit. The Panthers are surely the better team here but have been without the best WR in the league last year for their first two games. The Bucs were a team coming in with high hopes but they've done nothing short of shatter all dreams for Tampa fans. Chris Simms is NOT what people expected and neither is Cadillac Williams. The O-Line and D-Lines are OLD and dwindling. The Panthers will take a bit to jell on offense and that's the only reason TB will stay in the game. Carolina wins and finally gets off the schnide. (sp?) Tampa has NO HOPE for the rest of the season and Gruden better win a solid amount of games if he wants to avoid "new coach" talks.
Carolina 21 Tampa Bay 9
Chicago @ Minnesota
Minnesota, Brad Childress, and Brad Johnson have to be extremely happy with the way things are going for the Vikes. I'm excited for them and I'm not even a fan. Chester Taylor has run well, Brad has continued to refrain from making any mistakes, and Childress has made nasty play calls to solidfy victory against two suspected top teams.
The Bears have done exactly what was expected of them and more, but they've faced two shitty teams in the first two weeks. Detroit and Green Bay are garbage and the Bears SHOULD have beaten them the way they did. This will be the first really rough matchup for them and is especially dangerous because the Vikings have momentum and are playing at home. I think their defense will keep them above water in this one, but don't count Minnesota out.
Chicago 20 Minnesota 13
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Uh-oh... another slugfest for the Steelers. After the punishing they took at the hands of the Jaguars, they'll be looking to get back on track against a team that obliterated them last year, even though they won the one matchup that counted. "You're welcome," yells Kimo Von Olhoeffen. Big Ben was really off against the Jags and looked like a rookie. I think that appendectomy hurt more than he was willing to admit. On a side note, for those of you who criticized Bill Cowher for starting Ben in Jax, eat your words. The kid has lost like 2 games in his career and already has a big fat Super Bowl ring. Are you seriously going to tell the kid to sit if he's telling you he's ready to play? Not with that track record. Hindsight is 20/20 and also privy to moronic representation.
The Bengals haven't shown their explosive offense yet, with the exception of Rudi running all over Cleveland. They most likely won't blow the doors off the Steelers this week either, despite the fact that they have been putting up great numbers against the Steel Curtain at home and away.
Bengals 27 Steelers 20 (Sorry boys, but you ain't repeating)
Green Bay @ Detroit
Does anyone still care about either of these teams? I sure as hell don't. Favre has the skills, he has no teammates. Detroit has the paper tigers that are more like caterpillars on the field. I'll probably get this wrong, even though I can see either one winning.
Packers 28 Lions 26
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
This is probably game of the week, and could unfold in any number of ways. After Monday night, you should all know how good Jacksonville is and you should also know how good Peyton and the Horsies are already. Here's why I see it the way I do:
Indianapolis can throw the ball on anyone. The Jags defense will fair better than other teams but still won't be able to keep Peyton out of the endzone. The Colts running game is anemic at best, and will most likely be controlled all game, even without putting 8 in the box. Here's the kicker: The Jags can most likely run Nickle (an extra defensive back to help against the pass) and can still stop the run. They know that Peyton will be throwing all day, and I think that because Addai and Rhodes can't really do much, Jacksonville can do a fair share of damage against the Colts offense. Jacksonville will struggle to score as always but they will get enough up there to keep a fight up the whole game.
Jacksonville 24 Indianapolis 20 (Peyton has at least 2 INTs)
New York Jets @ Buffalo
Another one that I don't care enough about. Buffalo pulled one over the Dolphins last week and the Jets came close to upsetting the Patriots but fell short. Buffalo has no offense but will be at home in the rain. The Jets have some sort of light on O but not sure about the D. I really don't care if I get this wrong, but I'm going with the team that burned me last week.
NYJ 10 Bills 13
Tennessee @ Miami
The battle of beatens. Volek is gone and things are tumultuous in the Titans' camp. Vince Young isn't the starter but should be, and the Titans still have no offense. Miami will look good in this one but they're not going to really make waves until Daunte figures out that he needs to adapt to not having Randy Moss or his same mobility from years past. I had a lot of respect for Miami coming into the year but it's completely gone. Tennessee was never suspect to turn heads, but they'll most likely have the #2 pick right behind the Raiders in the 2007 NFL Draft.
Titans 12 Dolphins 30
Washington @ Houston
Another battle of beatens. Seriously, is there one team more overhyped EVERY SINGLE YEAR than the Redskins? Snyder ALWAYS makes moves, and ALWAYS gets press, and ALWAYS gets noticed by ESPN. Unforunately for him, that shit doesn't matter when the grass gets torn up. I knew it though... and I should have made a bigger stink about it. The Redskins will never win a championship under Joe Gibbs and they won't make the playoffs this year with this team. Thanks for taking Brandon Lloyd off our hands, seriously. Andre Carter? Eh, we don't care... we have more wins than you. (SF)
I'd like to go with the odds and say so, but I have respect for David Carr and Kubiak. Washington won't even win this game.
Pinkskins 16 Texans 20
Baltimore @ Cleveland
I didn't think Steve McNair looked good at all last week, but there's one thing that came out of the game that really tells the tale: They won. McNair isn't what he used to be and surely needs to have more reps with his new team, but their defense is ridiculous as always and they'll be a contender all the while with Steve improving. Charlie Frye needs to be a backup somewhere, and the Browns need to get over the fact that they got burned on a QB draft pick in Tim Couch. Everyone gets burned on a QB every once and a while, even the 49ers. (See: Jim Druckenmiller)
Droughns gets stuffed, Charlie is on the run, and the Ravens get closer to being a nice offensive team. Are people still talking about Brian Billick being fired? Gosh you guys are stupid.
Ravens 24 Cleveland 12
New York Giants @ Seattle
Who knows how this game will end up? Not me... that's for sure. Both teams can make great offensive and defensive arguments and both can remark about momentum. The fact is, it's really just going to come down to who wants it more. I'd say they both need it just as bad, maybe the Seahawks have a bit less incentive being that their division race is quite weak. This will be a tough game for both and may be injury-filled. I'll take the hot hand in the Giants after their crazy victory over the Eagles last week and acknowledge that Seattle's 11 game home win streak will end here. Hey, it can't last forever.. why not now?
Giants 20 Seahawks 17
Philadelphia @ San Francisco
How about that SEXY Niner victory last week? 72 yard TD from Smith to Bryant! Gore runs all over the Rams. I watched a replay of that game on YouTube and seriously, the Rams were lucky to be within 7. We BEAT THE CRAP out of them every down, all day long... and that's not even a biased opinion. It was there in black and white. Offensive blips are the only reason that the Rams were close. If Gore didn't fumble on the 2, we would have won by 20.
I really have high hopes going into this game. Jevon Kearse is gone for the Eagles and they must be demoralized after choking so hard against a tough division rival. They HAD that game last week. McNabb is absolutely ridiculous right now and will surely do some serious damage to our average secondary who has been playing really well. Westbrook is hurt, and I think we'll knock him out of this game.
Gore will get his yards and Smith will get a TD, but I think he'll throw his first INT in this game. Hopefully McNabb won't be able to beat us himself, but they really are the better team. Watch out for an upset though, we really aren't that bad of a team and are playing at home with a lot of swagger. Just for the sake of my record,
Eagles 28 49ers 21
St. Louis @ Arizona
Are people ever going to get off the Cardinals bandwagon? They'll lose 8 games and people will still be talking about the new stadium and how good their offense can be. Sure, they DO have the best WR corps in the game, and DO have a great RB in Edge, but they have ZERO offensive line and ZERO defense. It's just not going to happen this year without OL or DL help next year. I think the Rams will get on track offensively against a weak defense and Bulger will throw all over these little birdies. The Rams D will struggle to stay afloat but I really don't see the Cardinals winning this game.
Rams 27 Cardinals 20
Denver @ New England
The Broncos are looking to get things going offensively, like so many teams, and so are the Patriots. The Broncos are shocked that they forgot that they were a great team last year and the Patriots are reeling after finally relinquishing their hold on the NFL. A lot of guys are saying that the Patriots are frauds and that the Broncos are going to get back on track this week. I really don't know if anyone should buy into that. Tom Brady is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league and Bill Belichick is still one of the best defensive minds in the game.
I DO think Jake will do better, but the Culter talks will still rumble in Denver after this week. The Broncos will get better, but the Patriots will get better-er. (That's right baby, grammar-champ)
Denver 21 Patriots 27
Atlanta @ New Orleans
The Falcons are looking like the best team in the NFC right now, and finally people are realizing that Vick can win without passing for 300 yards a game. I was even a critic of his passing skills and thought that he would need to improve to make the Falcons a championship franchise. He still might. As of now, things look great. We'll just have to see.
The only reason I would doubt them in this game is that I think they might be flying kind of high and may be due for a let-down. DUE, is a strong word because they've only played two games. Here are a couple of FACTS for this game:
The Saints will put up more points on Atlanta than anyone else previous.
Drew Brees will throw a touchdown.
Either Reggie Bush or McAllister will have a touchdown.
I'd like to take the Saints because of all the hype and the love they'll be getting in the new stadium, but I just can't pick against the Falcons. These teams ALWAYS slug it out though, even when Aaron Brooks was at the helm for N'Alins.
Atlanta 31 New Orleans 23
That's 10 road wins I picked, and that's probably not going to happen.. I just can't see enough reason to give a lot of these home teams credit.
I'll give you a college update tomorrow.
TJ
Last week I was too tired (and inebriated) to post a blog Saturday night/early Sunday morning so I wrote down my predictions, with scores, on a piece of paper and showed it to a friend so he could back me up if people thought I lied.
Of course, here comes the vulnerability because people will probably start calling me a fraud when I tell you my record.
14-2 people... FOURTEEN RIGHT AND TWO WRONG. Mmmm hmmm, that's right, dance around, feel the love, shake your booty.
I told you that I knew football.
Okay, okay, it might have been an easy week, and this one will be harder, but still, who do you know that only got Philly/Giants wrong (and you know that was almost a fluke) and Miami/Buffalo. The 'fins were SUPPOSED to win that game. Not my fault they didn't. I'll take the second check mark in the "L" column, it's cool.
If anyone requests, I will post my exact predictions for your merry benefit. Some games I was only off by a few points.
So, after going 8-8 in Week 1 and 14-2 in Week 2, for those of you that took Algebra I, that's 22-10 through two weeks. That's a 69% winning percentage, but I'm not happy with that people, we must get into the seventies and stay there. Tough task, but hey, I'm for big goals. On to Week 3 and the toughest one so far.
Carolina @ Tampa Bay
After looking at the records and the number of points these two teams have scored in the first two weeks, this seems like a snooze-fest. I would beg to differ, and give both these teams SOME credit. The Panthers are surely the better team here but have been without the best WR in the league last year for their first two games. The Bucs were a team coming in with high hopes but they've done nothing short of shatter all dreams for Tampa fans. Chris Simms is NOT what people expected and neither is Cadillac Williams. The O-Line and D-Lines are OLD and dwindling. The Panthers will take a bit to jell on offense and that's the only reason TB will stay in the game. Carolina wins and finally gets off the schnide. (sp?) Tampa has NO HOPE for the rest of the season and Gruden better win a solid amount of games if he wants to avoid "new coach" talks.
Carolina 21 Tampa Bay 9
Chicago @ Minnesota
Minnesota, Brad Childress, and Brad Johnson have to be extremely happy with the way things are going for the Vikes. I'm excited for them and I'm not even a fan. Chester Taylor has run well, Brad has continued to refrain from making any mistakes, and Childress has made nasty play calls to solidfy victory against two suspected top teams.
The Bears have done exactly what was expected of them and more, but they've faced two shitty teams in the first two weeks. Detroit and Green Bay are garbage and the Bears SHOULD have beaten them the way they did. This will be the first really rough matchup for them and is especially dangerous because the Vikings have momentum and are playing at home. I think their defense will keep them above water in this one, but don't count Minnesota out.
Chicago 20 Minnesota 13
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Uh-oh... another slugfest for the Steelers. After the punishing they took at the hands of the Jaguars, they'll be looking to get back on track against a team that obliterated them last year, even though they won the one matchup that counted. "You're welcome," yells Kimo Von Olhoeffen. Big Ben was really off against the Jags and looked like a rookie. I think that appendectomy hurt more than he was willing to admit. On a side note, for those of you who criticized Bill Cowher for starting Ben in Jax, eat your words. The kid has lost like 2 games in his career and already has a big fat Super Bowl ring. Are you seriously going to tell the kid to sit if he's telling you he's ready to play? Not with that track record. Hindsight is 20/20 and also privy to moronic representation.
The Bengals haven't shown their explosive offense yet, with the exception of Rudi running all over Cleveland. They most likely won't blow the doors off the Steelers this week either, despite the fact that they have been putting up great numbers against the Steel Curtain at home and away.
Bengals 27 Steelers 20 (Sorry boys, but you ain't repeating)
Green Bay @ Detroit
Does anyone still care about either of these teams? I sure as hell don't. Favre has the skills, he has no teammates. Detroit has the paper tigers that are more like caterpillars on the field. I'll probably get this wrong, even though I can see either one winning.
Packers 28 Lions 26
Jacksonville @ Indianapolis
This is probably game of the week, and could unfold in any number of ways. After Monday night, you should all know how good Jacksonville is and you should also know how good Peyton and the Horsies are already. Here's why I see it the way I do:
Indianapolis can throw the ball on anyone. The Jags defense will fair better than other teams but still won't be able to keep Peyton out of the endzone. The Colts running game is anemic at best, and will most likely be controlled all game, even without putting 8 in the box. Here's the kicker: The Jags can most likely run Nickle (an extra defensive back to help against the pass) and can still stop the run. They know that Peyton will be throwing all day, and I think that because Addai and Rhodes can't really do much, Jacksonville can do a fair share of damage against the Colts offense. Jacksonville will struggle to score as always but they will get enough up there to keep a fight up the whole game.
Jacksonville 24 Indianapolis 20 (Peyton has at least 2 INTs)
New York Jets @ Buffalo
Another one that I don't care enough about. Buffalo pulled one over the Dolphins last week and the Jets came close to upsetting the Patriots but fell short. Buffalo has no offense but will be at home in the rain. The Jets have some sort of light on O but not sure about the D. I really don't care if I get this wrong, but I'm going with the team that burned me last week.
NYJ 10 Bills 13
Tennessee @ Miami
The battle of beatens. Volek is gone and things are tumultuous in the Titans' camp. Vince Young isn't the starter but should be, and the Titans still have no offense. Miami will look good in this one but they're not going to really make waves until Daunte figures out that he needs to adapt to not having Randy Moss or his same mobility from years past. I had a lot of respect for Miami coming into the year but it's completely gone. Tennessee was never suspect to turn heads, but they'll most likely have the #2 pick right behind the Raiders in the 2007 NFL Draft.
Titans 12 Dolphins 30
Washington @ Houston
Another battle of beatens. Seriously, is there one team more overhyped EVERY SINGLE YEAR than the Redskins? Snyder ALWAYS makes moves, and ALWAYS gets press, and ALWAYS gets noticed by ESPN. Unforunately for him, that shit doesn't matter when the grass gets torn up. I knew it though... and I should have made a bigger stink about it. The Redskins will never win a championship under Joe Gibbs and they won't make the playoffs this year with this team. Thanks for taking Brandon Lloyd off our hands, seriously. Andre Carter? Eh, we don't care... we have more wins than you. (SF)
I'd like to go with the odds and say so, but I have respect for David Carr and Kubiak. Washington won't even win this game.
Pinkskins 16 Texans 20
Baltimore @ Cleveland
I didn't think Steve McNair looked good at all last week, but there's one thing that came out of the game that really tells the tale: They won. McNair isn't what he used to be and surely needs to have more reps with his new team, but their defense is ridiculous as always and they'll be a contender all the while with Steve improving. Charlie Frye needs to be a backup somewhere, and the Browns need to get over the fact that they got burned on a QB draft pick in Tim Couch. Everyone gets burned on a QB every once and a while, even the 49ers. (See: Jim Druckenmiller)
Droughns gets stuffed, Charlie is on the run, and the Ravens get closer to being a nice offensive team. Are people still talking about Brian Billick being fired? Gosh you guys are stupid.
Ravens 24 Cleveland 12
New York Giants @ Seattle
Who knows how this game will end up? Not me... that's for sure. Both teams can make great offensive and defensive arguments and both can remark about momentum. The fact is, it's really just going to come down to who wants it more. I'd say they both need it just as bad, maybe the Seahawks have a bit less incentive being that their division race is quite weak. This will be a tough game for both and may be injury-filled. I'll take the hot hand in the Giants after their crazy victory over the Eagles last week and acknowledge that Seattle's 11 game home win streak will end here. Hey, it can't last forever.. why not now?
Giants 20 Seahawks 17
Philadelphia @ San Francisco
How about that SEXY Niner victory last week? 72 yard TD from Smith to Bryant! Gore runs all over the Rams. I watched a replay of that game on YouTube and seriously, the Rams were lucky to be within 7. We BEAT THE CRAP out of them every down, all day long... and that's not even a biased opinion. It was there in black and white. Offensive blips are the only reason that the Rams were close. If Gore didn't fumble on the 2, we would have won by 20.
I really have high hopes going into this game. Jevon Kearse is gone for the Eagles and they must be demoralized after choking so hard against a tough division rival. They HAD that game last week. McNabb is absolutely ridiculous right now and will surely do some serious damage to our average secondary who has been playing really well. Westbrook is hurt, and I think we'll knock him out of this game.
Gore will get his yards and Smith will get a TD, but I think he'll throw his first INT in this game. Hopefully McNabb won't be able to beat us himself, but they really are the better team. Watch out for an upset though, we really aren't that bad of a team and are playing at home with a lot of swagger. Just for the sake of my record,
Eagles 28 49ers 21
St. Louis @ Arizona
Are people ever going to get off the Cardinals bandwagon? They'll lose 8 games and people will still be talking about the new stadium and how good their offense can be. Sure, they DO have the best WR corps in the game, and DO have a great RB in Edge, but they have ZERO offensive line and ZERO defense. It's just not going to happen this year without OL or DL help next year. I think the Rams will get on track offensively against a weak defense and Bulger will throw all over these little birdies. The Rams D will struggle to stay afloat but I really don't see the Cardinals winning this game.
Rams 27 Cardinals 20
Denver @ New England
The Broncos are looking to get things going offensively, like so many teams, and so are the Patriots. The Broncos are shocked that they forgot that they were a great team last year and the Patriots are reeling after finally relinquishing their hold on the NFL. A lot of guys are saying that the Patriots are frauds and that the Broncos are going to get back on track this week. I really don't know if anyone should buy into that. Tom Brady is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league and Bill Belichick is still one of the best defensive minds in the game.
I DO think Jake will do better, but the Culter talks will still rumble in Denver after this week. The Broncos will get better, but the Patriots will get better-er. (That's right baby, grammar-champ)
Denver 21 Patriots 27
Atlanta @ New Orleans
The Falcons are looking like the best team in the NFC right now, and finally people are realizing that Vick can win without passing for 300 yards a game. I was even a critic of his passing skills and thought that he would need to improve to make the Falcons a championship franchise. He still might. As of now, things look great. We'll just have to see.
The only reason I would doubt them in this game is that I think they might be flying kind of high and may be due for a let-down. DUE, is a strong word because they've only played two games. Here are a couple of FACTS for this game:
The Saints will put up more points on Atlanta than anyone else previous.
Drew Brees will throw a touchdown.
Either Reggie Bush or McAllister will have a touchdown.
I'd like to take the Saints because of all the hype and the love they'll be getting in the new stadium, but I just can't pick against the Falcons. These teams ALWAYS slug it out though, even when Aaron Brooks was at the helm for N'Alins.
Atlanta 31 New Orleans 23
That's 10 road wins I picked, and that's probably not going to happen.. I just can't see enough reason to give a lot of these home teams credit.
I'll give you a college update tomorrow.
TJ
posted by Travis at 2:11 PM
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